• See what Grêmio’s chances were after the victory over Botafogo
Before this weekend’s round, according to work carried out by the Department of Mathematics at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Grêmio had an 18.3% chance of becoming Brazilian champion. After the defeat to Corinthians, the percentage dropped significantly. Now, the gauchos have a 6.4% chance of obtaining the achievement.
According to mathematics, the Palmeiras is the new favorite to lift the cup. The São Paulo team has a 45.4% chance of winning the title once again. Next comes Botafogo, who lost their place for the first time in the championship, after suffering four defeats and a draw in the sequence. Fogão has a 28% chance of being champion. Bragantino is the third candidate, according to mathematics. The Bragança Paulista team now has a 15.9% chance of lifting the unprecedented cup
With 3.5%, Flamengo remains in the fight, according to UFMG, as does Atlético-MG, with just 0.83%.
According to the Infobola website, Grêmio’s chances are a little higher. Grêmio has an 8% chance of becoming champion according to mathematician Tristão Garcia. In front is Palmeiras (44%), followed by Botafogo (27%) and Bragantino (15%).
Flamengo, with 5%, and Atlético-MG, with just 1%, still have chances too.
Chances of being Brazilian champion