We have been, since the legislative elections of June 2022, in a completely new opposition system in France. Not only does the President of the Republic not have an absolute majority in the National Assembly, which had not happened since 1988, but the two main opposition forces are particularly radical formations which have not never, in the past, exercised national responsibilities. La France insoumise (LFI, 75 deputies) thus took precedence over the Socialist Party (PS, 31 elected); the National Rally (RN, 89 deputies) on those of the Les Républicains party (LR, 62 deputies). It is indeed a small revolution.
Remember, however, that almost everything opposes LFI and the RN. Firstly, the expectations of their voters: purchasing power comes first in both cases, but while “rebellious” sympathizers then cite the environment (41%) and the future of the social system (34% ) and that immigration comes very far behind with only 4% of citations, those of the RN make this their second big expectation (43%).
The same applies to foreigners (95% of RN sympathizers believe that there are too many, compared to 38% at LFI), the relationship to work and solidarity (only 30% of “rebellious” think that we is evolving towards too much “assistantship” in France against 76% among RN sympathizers; 39% that the unemployed could find work if they really wanted to, against 78% in Marine Le Pen’s party), the feeling of dispossession (35% of the first say that you no longer feel at home in France, compared to 93% of the second), trust in the police (50% in one case, 79% in the other), etc. Overall, these are two visions of the world that are diametrically opposed. In other times, we talked about “Front against Front”. The words and the electoral strategies have changed, the electorates less.
These two formations, however, adopted a very different opposition posture: noisy and particularly radical to La France insoumise, in the hope of winning back popular circles; ready to support certain government bills to curry favor with the public and more credibility for the RN. A few months after the legislative elections, what conclusions can we draw from these two strategies? Clearly, the far-right party clearly wins.
A compromise opposition
First of all, even if the levels are low for all the oppositions, it is he who arouses the most approval for the way he behaves in the National Assembly: 35% of French people approve of him, which places it ahead of all other political parties. Conversely, LFI only garners 24% approval, behind the RN, but also behind LR, the PS, Europe Ecologie-Les Verts and the French Communist Party. Above all, 42% of French people disapprove ” absolutely “ the form of opposition of the “rebellious” troops against only 29% for the RN. In fact – and very clearly – 53% of respondents believe that the opposition of the “rebellious” is too radical, 17% at the right level and 8% not radical enough. For the RN, the reproach being too radical is only made by 34% of those questioned, 29% believing, on the contrary, that it is “at the right level” and 13% not radical enough.
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