Posted Sep 23, 2022, 11:10 AM
The supplementary pension plan for executives and private sector employees Agirc-Arrco should still be largely in the green this year. According to an internal document consulted this Friday by AFP, Agirc-Arrco expects a "technical" surplus (before financial result) of 3.7 billion euros this year, according to the "central" scenario presented recently. to its finance committee.
After the surplus of 2.6 billion already recorded last year, the system managed by the unions and employers therefore continues to reap the benefits of the post-Covid economic recovery. What to feed the next discussions on the revaluation of pensions on November 1, especially since a gain of 1.5 billion is still projected for 2023 and that the "golden rule" consisting in having six months of financial reserves over a 15-year horizon would still be held.
Decision on October 6
At this stage, an increase of at least 4.9% is guaranteed , essentially corresponding to the evolution of wages (4.8%) and a slight catch-up (0.1%) of undervalued inflation in 2021, several union sources told AFP. Better than the 4% granted this summer by the government on the basic service pension by Social Security, but less than the rise in prices excluding tobacco, quantified by Agirc-Arrco at 5.3% year-on-year.
Compared to the 84 billion euros in benefits budgeted for 2022, this mechanical increase will cause spending to jump by more than 4 billion next year.
Some negotiators nevertheless hope to obtain more to limit the loss of purchasing power of retirees. The subject will be put on the table of a “joint committee” this Tuesday afternoon, before a decision in the board of directors on October 6.
But the social partners have limited room for maneuver, due to their “golden rule” and the principles established before the health crisis, which prevent them in particular from upgrading pensions beyond the increase in wages. The negotiation of a new agreement in early 2023 will allow them to put everything back on track.
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