Here are the different scenarios concerning the capital club traveling to Dortmund for its last match of the group stage in two weeks.
A goal that changes everything. Without Kylian Mbappé’s penalty in stoppage time, this Tuesday against Newcastle (1-1), a potential success in Dortmund on December 13 might not have been enough for the Parisians to reach the round of 16 of the Champions League. With this penalty, PSG is second in the group F ranking with seven points, behind Dortmund (10 pts) but ahead of Newcastle (5 pts) and Milan (5 pts). Clearly, the Rouge et Bleu are guaranteed to finish at the top of the group by winning in Germany.
If Newcastle win against Milan, they will be forced to win at Dortmund to progress. A draw would not be enough. In the event of a victory for Milan, a Parisian draw would be enough to move on to the specific goal difference. Finally, in the event of a draw between Newcastle and Milan, Paris would qualify… even if they lose at the Westfalenstadion. The data is clear.
PSG in the round of 16, if…
-PSG beats Dortmund
-PSG draws at Dortmund and Newcastle does not win against Milan
-PSG loses and there is no winner between Newcastle and Milan